The Joker and Demon
Playing cards have always carried the charm of probability and chance. Each hand offers the thrill of triumph or the sting of a dead draw. But is it really luck, or inevitability disguised as chance? Laplace's Joker shuffles unpredictability into play.
Kevin Bockius
12/3/20252 min read


When you play a hand of cards, you step into an arena ruled by probability and chance. Do you need an Ace to get 21? A six of hearts for that royal flush? It all falls down to the randomness of how the cards are dealt. Will fortune favor you or hang you out to dry?
French mathematician Pierre-Simon Laplace imagined a universe where chance was nothing more than an illusion. His Demon - armed with perfect knowledge - could foresee every shuffle, hand, and outcome of the entire game before the cards even touched the table. Better yet - Laplace's Demon could predict the result of the game long before the dealer was even born, before dinosaurs roamed the earth, and even before our galaxy came into existence.
This is because Laplace theorized that the universe is governed entirely by determinism. In his thought experiment, Laplace's Demon is a hypothetical intellect (or computer) so powerful that, if it knew the exact position and velocity of every particle at a single moment, it could calculate the entire past and entire future with perfect certainty. Nothing would happen randomly; it would simply be a product of the initial conditions of each particle in the moment before.
Even the firing of neurons in our brains would be no exception. Laplace's Demon would know every thought, decision, and emotion like a script from beginning to end. In Laplace's view, "free will" was just a mere illusion of choice masking actions already set in stone. A cruel, or perhaps beautiful, fate.
Many modern-day theories challenge Laplace's vision of a deterministic universe. Quantum mechanics shows that at the smallest scales, particles behave unpredictably. Randomness is built into the fabric of our reality. This introduces uncertainty that no intellect - not even Laplace's Demon - could overcome. With this, the randomness of the quantum world translates to the luck of a poker game.
This is exactly why I included Laplace's Joker in The Engineer's Deck. He is the wild card - the grin that mocks certainty. Laplace's Joker ensures every game is a twist of chance, not fate. He is not bound by deterministic principles; instead, he embodies luck, freedom, and the thrill of the unknown.
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